Technical Indicator - On Balance Volume (OBV)
Technicians
have experimented with many volume indicators to help
quantify buying or selling pressure. Trying to "eyeball"
the vertical volume bars along the bottom of the chart
is not always precise enough to detect significant
shifts in the volume flow. The simplest and best known
of these volume indicators
is on
balance
volume or OBV. Developed and popularized by Joseph
Granville in 1963, Granville's New Key to Stock
Market Profits, OBV actually produces a curving line on
the price chart. This line can be used either to confirm
the quality of the current price trend or warn of an
impending reversal by diverging from the price action.
The
price chart with the OBV line along the bottom of the
chart instead of the volume bars. Notice how much easier
it is to follow the volume trend with the OBV line.
The
construction of the OBV line is simplicity itself. The
total volume for each day is assigned a plus or minus
value depending on whether prices close higher or lower
for that day. A higher close causes the volume for that
day to be given a plus value, while a lower close counts
for negative volume. A running cumulative total is then
maintained by adding or subtracting each day's volume
based on the direction of the market close.
It
is the direction of the OBV line (its trend) that is
important and not
the actual numbers themselves. The actual OBV values
will differ depending on how far back you are charting.
Let the computer handle the calculations. Concentrate on
the direction of the OBV line.
The
on balance volume
line should follow in the
same direction as the price trend. If prices show a
series of higher peaks and troughs (an uptrend), the OBV
line should do the same. If prices are trending lower,
so should the OBV line. It's when the volume line fails
to move in the same direction as prices that a
divergence exists and warns of a possible trend reversal.