Relative Strength and Individual Stocks, Top-Down market approach
RELATIVE STRENGTH AND
INDIVIDUAL STOCKS
Investors
have two ways to go at that point. They can simply
rotate their funds out of one market group into another
and stop there. Or, if they wish, they can continue on
to choose individual stocks within those groups.
Relative strength analysis plays a role here as well.
Once the desired index has been chosen, the next step is
to divide each of the individual stocks within the index
by the index itself. In that way, you can easily spot
the individual stocks that are showing the greatest
relative strength. You can purchase the stocks showing
the strongest ratio lines, or you can buy a cheaper
stock whose ratio line may just be turning up. The idea,
however, is to avoid stocks whose relative strength
(ratio) lines are still falling.
TOP-DOWN MARKET
APPROACH
What
we've described here is a top down market approach. You
begin by studying the major market averages to determine
the trend of the overall market. Then you select those
market sectors or industry groups that are showing the
best relative strength. Then you select individual
stocks within those groups that are also showing the
best relative strength. By incorporating inter-market
principals into your decision making process, you can
also determine whether the current market climate favors
bonds, commodities, or stocks which can playa role in
your asset allocation decisions. The same principles can
also be applied to international investing by, simply
comparing the relative strength of the various global
stock markets. And, finally, all of these technical
tools described herein can be applied to charts of
mutual funds as a final check on your analysis. All of
this work is easily done with price charts and a
computer. Imagine trying to apply fundamental analysis
to so many markets at the same time.