The following checklist is
provided to help the user touch all the bases, at least
in the early going. Later on, the checklist becomes
second nature. The checklist is not all-inclusive, but
does have most of the more important factors to keep in
mind. Sound market
analysis
seldom consists of doing the obvious. The technician is
constantly seeking clues to future market movement. The
final clue that leans the trader in one direction or the
other is often some minor factor that has gone largely
unnoticed by others. The more factors the analyst
considers, the better the chances of finding that right
clue.
TECHNICAL CHECKLIST
1. What is the direction
of the overall market?
2. What is the direction
of the various market sectors?
3.
What are the
weekly and monthly charts showing?
4. Are the major,
intermediate, and minor trends up, down, or sideways?
5. Where are the important
support and resistance levels?
6. Where are the important
trend lines or channels?
7. Are volume and open
interest confirming the price action?
8. Where are the 33%, 50%,
and 66% retracements?
9. Are there any price
gaps and what type are they?
10. Are there any major
reversal patterns visible?
11. Are there any
continuation patterns visible?
12. What are the price
objectives from those patterns?
13. Which way are the
moving averages pointing?
14. Are the oscillators
overbought or oversold?
15. Are any divergences
apparent on the oscillators?
16. Are contrary opinion
numbers showing any extremes?
17. What is the Elliot
Wave pattern showing?
18. Are there any obvious
3 or 5 wave patterns?
19. What about Fibonacci
retracements or projections?
20. Are there any cycle
tops or bottoms due?
21. Is the market showing
right or left translation?
22. Which way is the
computer trend moving: up, down, or sideways?
23. What are the point
and figure charts or candlesticks showing?
After
you've arrived at a bullish or bearish conclusion,
ask yourself the following questions.
1. Which way will this
market trend over the next several months?
2. Am I going to buy
or sell this market?
3. How many units will
I trade?
4. How much am I
prepared to risk if I'm wrong?
S. What is my profit
objective?
6. Where will I enter
the market?
7. What type of order
will I use?
8. Where will I place
my protective stop?
Going
through the checklist won't guarantee the right
conclusions. It's only meant to help you ask the
right questions. Asking the right questions is the
surest way of finding the right answers. The keys to
successful trading are knowledge, discipline, and
patience. Assuming that you have the knowledge, the
best way to achieve discipline and patience is doing
your homework and having a plan of action. The final
step is putting that plan of action to work. Even
that won't guarantee success, but it will greatly
increase the odds of winning in the financial
market.