A
reversal candle pattern is a combination of Japanese
candlesticks that normally indicate a reversal of the
trend. One serious consideration that must be used to
help identify patterns as being either bullish or
bearish is the trend of the market preceding the
pattern. You cannot have a bullish reversal pattern in
an uptrend. You can have a series of candlesticks that
resemble the bullish pattern, but if the trend is up, it
is not a bullish Japanese candle pattern. Likewise, you
cannot have a bearish reversal candle pattern in a
downtrend.
This
presents one of the age-old problems when analyzing
markets: What is the trend? You must determine the
trend, before you can utilize Japanese candle patterns
effectively. While volumes have been written on the
subject of trend determination, the use of a moving
average will work quite well with Japanese candle
patterns. Once the short term (ten periods or so) trend
has been determined, Japanese candle patterns will
significantly assist in identifying the reversal of that
trend.
Japanese
literature consistently refers to approximately forty
reversal candle patterns. These vary from single
candlestick lines to more complex patterns of up to five
candlestick lines. There are many good references on
candlesticks, so only a few of the more popular patterns
will be discussed here.
Dark
Cloud Cover.
This is a two day reversal
pattern that only has bearish implications. This is also
one of the times when the pattern's counterpart exists
but has a different
name (see Piercing Line). The first day of this pattern
is a long white candlestick. This reflects the current
trend of the market and helps confirm the uptrend to
traders. The next day opens above the high price of the
previous day, again adding to the bullishness. However,
trading for Dark cloud; the rest of the day is lower
with a close price at least below the midpoint of the
body of the first day.
This
is a significant blow to the bullish
mentality and will force many to exit the market. Since
the close price is below the open price on the second
day, the body is black. This is the dark cloud referred
to in the name. Piercing Line. The opposite of the Dark
Cloud Cover, the Piercing Line, has bullish
implications. The scenario is quite similar, but
opposite. A downtrend is in place, the first candlestick
is a long black day which solidifies traders' confidence
in the downtrend. The next day, prices open at a new low
and then trade higher all day and close above the
midpoint of the first candlestick's body. This offers a
significant change to the downtrend mentality and many
will reverse or exit their positions.
Evening
Star and Morning Star. The Evening Star and its cousin,
the Morning Star, are two powerful reversal candle
patterns. These are both three day patterns that work
exceptionally well.
The scenario for understanding the change in trader
psychology for the Evening Star will be thoroughly
discussed here since the opposite can be said for the
Morning Star.
The
Evening Star is a bearish reversal candle pattern, as
its name suggests. The first day of this pattern is a
long white candlestick which fully enforces the current
uptrend. On the open of the second day, prices gap up
above the body of the first day. Trading on this second
day is somewhat restricted and the close price is near
the open price while remaining above the body of the
first day. The body for the second day is small. This
type of day following a long day is referred to as a
Star pattern. A Star is a small body day that gaps away
from a long body day. The third and last day of this
pattern opens with a gap below the body of the star and
closes lower with the close price below the midpoint of
the first day.
The
previous explanation was the perfect scenario. Many
references will accept as valid, an Evening Star which
does not meet each detail exactly. For instance, the
third day might not gap down or the close on the third
day might not be quite below the midpoint of the first
day's body. These details are subjective when viewing a
candlestick chart, but not when using a computer program
to automatically identify the patterns. That is because
computer programs require explicit instructions to read
the candle chart, and don't allow for subjective
interpretation.