Continuation Patterns
Each
trading day, a decision needs to be made, whether it is
to exit a trade, enter a trade, or remain in a trade. A
candle pattern that helps identify the fact; that the
current trend is going to continue is more valuable than
may first appear. It helps answer the question as to
whether or not you should remain in a trade. Japanese
literature refers to 16 continuation candle patterns.
One continuation pattern and its related opposite cousin
are particularly good at trend continuation
identification.
Rising
and Falling Three Methods. The Rising Three Methods
continuation candle pattern is the bullish counterpart
to this duo and will be the subject of this scenario
building. A bullish continuation pattern can only occur
in an uptrend and a bearish continuation pattern can
only occur in a downtrend. This restates the required
relationship to the trend that is so necessary in candle
pattern analysis.
The
first day of the Rising Three Methods pattern is a long
white day which fully supports the up trending market.
However, over the course of the next three trading
periods, small body days occur which, as a group, trend
downward. They all remain within the range of the first
day's long white body and at least two of these three
small-bodied days have black bodies. This period of time
when the market appears to have gone nowhere is
considered by the Japanese as a "period of rest." On the
fifth day of this pattern, another long white day
develops which closes at a new high. Prices have finally
broken out of the short trading range and the uptrend
will continue.
A
five day pattern such as the Rising Three Methods
requires a lot of detail in its definition. The above
scenario is the perfect example of the Rising Three
Methods pattern. Flexibility can be applied with some
success and this only comes with experience. For
example, the three small reaction days could remain
within the first day's high-low range instead of the
body's range. The small reaction days do not always have
to be predominantly black. And finally, the concept of
the "period of rest" could be expanded to include more
than three reaction days. Don't ignore the Rising and
Falling Three Methods pattern; it can give you a feeling
of comfort when worrying about protecting profits in a
trade.