The rule of alternation and channeling
In
its more general application, this rule or principle
holds that the market usually doesn't act the same way
two times in a row. If a certain type of top or bottom
occurred the last time around, it will probably not do
so again this time. The rule of alternation doesn't tell
us exactly what will happen, but tells us what probably
won't. In its more specific application, it is most
generally used to tell us what type of corrective
pattern to expect. Corrective patterns tend to
alternate. In other words, if corrective wave 2 was a
simple a-b-c pattern, wave 4 will probably be a complex
pattern, such as a triangle. Conversely, if wave 2 is
complex, wave 4 will probably be simple.
Another
important aspect of wave theory is the use of price
channels. Elliott used price channels as a method of
arriving at price objectives and also to help confirm
the completion of wave counts. Once an uptrend has been
established, an initial trend channel is constructed by
drawing a basic up trend line along the bottoms of waves
1 and 2. A parallel channel line is then drawn over the
top of wave 1. The entire uptrend will often stay within
those two boundaries.
If
wave 3 begins to accelerate to the point that it exceeds
the upper channel line, the lines have to be redrawn
along the top of wave 1 and the bottom of wave 2. The
final channel is drawn under the two corrective waves-2
and 4-and usually above the top of wave 3. If wave 3 is
unusually strong, or an extended wave, the upper line
may have to be drawn over the top of wave 1. The fifth
wave should come close to the upper channel line before
terminating. For the drawing of channel lines on long
term trends, it's recommended that semilog charts be
employed along with arithmetic charts.