Free Online Elliott Wave Principle Lesson
Let's
briefly summarize the more important elements of wave
theory and then try to put it into proper perspective.
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A complete bull market
cycle is made up of eight waves, five
up waves followed by three down waves.
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A trend divides into
five waves in the direction of the next longer
trend.
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Corrections always
take place in three waves.
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The two types of
simple corrections are zig-zags (5-3-5) and flats
(3-3-5).
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Triangles are usually
fourth waves, and always precede the final wave.
Triangles can also be B corrective waves.
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Waves can be expanded
into longer waves and subdivided into shorter waves.
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Sometimes one of the
impulse waves extends. The other two should then be
equal in time and magnitude.
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The Fibonacci sequence
is the mathematical basis of the Elliott Wave
Theory.
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The number of waves
follows the Fibonacci sequence.
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10. Fibonacci ratios
and retracements are used to determine price
objectives. The most common retracements are 62%,
50%, and 38%.
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The rule of
alternation warns not to expect the same thing twice
in succession.
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Bear markets should
not fall below the bottom of the previous
fourth wave.
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Wave 4 should not
overlap wave 1 (not as rigid in futures).
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The Elliott Wave
Theory is comprised of wave forms, ratios, and time,
in that order of importance.
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The theory was
originally applied to stock market averages and does
not work as well on individual stocks.
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The theory works best
in those commodity markets with the largest public
following, such as gold.
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The principal
difference in commodities is the existence of
contained bull markets.
The
Elliott Wave Principle builds on the more classical
approaches, such as Dow Theory and traditional chart
patterns. Most of those price patterns can be
explained as part of the Elliott Wave structure. It
builds on the concept of "swing objectives" by using
Fibonacci ratio projections and percentage
retracements. The Elliott Wave Principle takes all
of these factors into consideration, but goes
beyond them by giving them more order and increased
predictability.
There
are times when Elliott pictures are clear and other
times when they are not. Trying to force unclear market
action into an Elliott format, and ignoring other
technical tools in the process, is a misuse of the
theory. The key is to view Elliott Wave Theory as a
partial answer to the puzzle of market forecasting.
Using it in conjunction with all of the other technical
theories will increase its value and improve chances for
success.