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     Major Reversal Price Patterns Measuring Technique

 
 

Major Reversal Price Patterns Measuring Technique

Virtually all of the measuring techniques in here is based on the height of the pattern. This is the method applied primarily to bar charts, which use a vertical measuring criteria. The practice of measuring the horizontal width of a price pattern usually is reserved for point and figure charting. That method of charting uses a device known as the count, which assumes a close relationship between the width of a top or bottom and the subsequent price target.

Differences Between Tops and Bottoms. Topping patterns are usually shorter in duration and are more volatile than bottoms. Price swings within the tops are wider and more violent. Tops usually take less time to form. Bottoms usually have smaller price ranges, but take longer to build. For this reason it is usually easier and less costly to identify and trade bottoms than to catch market tops. One consoling factor, which makes the more treacherous topping patterns worthwhile, is that prices tend to decline faster than they go up. Therefore, the trader can usually make more money a lot faster by catching the short side of a bear market than by trading the long side of a bull market. Everything in life is a tradeoff between reward and risk. The greater risks are compensated for by greater rewards and vice versa. Topping patterns are harder to catch, but are worth the effort.

Volume is More Important on the Upside. Volume should generally increase in the direction of the market trend and is an important confirming factor in the completion of all price patterns. The completion of each pattern should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. However, in the early stages of a trend reversal, volume is not as important at market tops. Markets have a way of "falling of their own weight" once a bear move gets under­way. Chartists like to see an increase in trading activity as prices drop, but it is not critical At bottoms, however, the volume pick­up is absolutely essential. If the volume pattern does not show a significant increase during the upside price breakout, the entire price pattern should be questioned. We will be taking a more in depth look at volume.

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