Major Reversal Price Patterns Measuring Technique
Virtually
all of the measuring techniques in here is based on the height of the pattern. This is the
method applied primarily to bar charts, which use a
vertical measuring criteria. The practice of measuring
the horizontal width of a price pattern usually is
reserved for point and figure charting. That method of
charting uses a device known as the count, which assumes
a close relationship between the width of a top or
bottom and the subsequent price target.
Differences
Between Tops and Bottoms. Topping patterns are usually
shorter in duration and are more volatile than bottoms.
Price swings within the tops are wider and more violent.
Tops usually take less time to form. Bottoms usually
have smaller price ranges, but take longer to build. For
this reason it is usually easier and less costly to
identify and trade bottoms than to catch market tops.
One consoling factor, which makes the more treacherous
topping patterns worthwhile, is that
prices
tend to
decline faster than they go up. Therefore, the trader
can usually make more money a lot faster by catching the
short side of a bear market than by trading the long
side of a bull market. Everything in life is a tradeoff
between reward and risk. The greater risks are
compensated for by greater rewards and vice versa.
Topping patterns are harder to catch, but are worth the
effort.
Volume
is More Important on the Upside. Volume should
generally increase in the direction of the market
trend and is an important confirming factor in the
completion of all price patterns. The completion of
each pattern should be accompanied by a noticeable
increase in volume. However, in the early stages of
a trend reversal, volume is not as important at
market tops. Markets have a way of "falling of their
own weight" once a bear move gets underway.
Chartists like to see an increase in trading
activity as prices drop, but it is not critical At
bottoms, however, the volume pickup is absolutely
essential. If the volume pattern does not show a
significant increase during the upside price
breakout, the entire price pattern should be
questioned. We will be taking a more in depth look
at volume.