The Measured Move or Swing Measurement
The
measured move, or the swing measurement as it is
sometimes called, describes the phenomenon where a major
market advance or decline is divided into two equal and
parallel moves. For this approach to work, the market
moves should be fairly orderly and well defined. The
measured move is really just a variation of some of the
techniques we've already touched on. We've seen that
some of the consolidation patterns, such as flags and
pennants, usually occur at about the halfway point of a
market move. We've also mentioned the tendency of
markets to retrace about a third to a half of a prior
trend before resuming that trend.
In
the measured move, when the chartist sees a
well-defined situation, with a rally followed by a countertrend swing, it is assumed that the next leg in the
uptrend will come close to duplicating the
first leg. The height of wave, therefore,
is simply measured upward from the bottom of the
correction.