The Ascending Triangle Chart Pattern and Measuring
Technique
The
ascending and descending triangles are variations of the
symmetrical, but have different forecasting
implications. An ascending triangle which the upper
trend line is flat, while the lower line is rising. This
pattern indicates that buyers are more aggressive than
sellers. It is considered a bullish pattern and is
usually resolved with a breakout to the upside.
Both
the ascending and descending triangles differ from the
symmetrical in a very important sense. No matter where
in the trend structure the ascending or descending
triangles appear, they have very definite forecasting
implications. The ascending triangle is bullish and the
descending triangle is bearish. The symmetrical
triangle, by contrast, is inherently a neutral pattern.
This does not mean, however, that the symmetrical
triangle does not have forecasting value. On the
contrary, because the symmetrical triangle is a
continuation pattern, the analyst must simply look to
see the direction of the previous trend and then make
the assumption that the previous trend will continue.
Let's
get back to the ascending triangle. As already stated,
more often than not, the ascending triangle is bullish.
The bullish breakout is signaled by a decisive closing
above the flat upper trend line. As in the case of all
valid upside breakouts, volume should see a noticeable
increase on the breakout. A return move back to the
support line (the flat upper line) is not unusual and
should take place on light volume.
Measuring Technique
The measuring technique
for the ascending triangle is relatively simple. Simply
measure the height of the pattern at its widest point
and project that vertical distance from the breakout
point. This is just another example of using the
volatility of a price pattern to determine a minimum
price objective.
The Ascending
Triangle as a
Bottom
While
the ascending triangle most often appears in an uptrend
and is considered a continuation pattern, it sometimes
appears as a bottoming pattern. It is not unusual toward
the end of a downtrend to see an ascending triangle
develop. However, even in this situation, the
interpretation of the pattern is bullish. The breaking
of the upper line signals completion of the base and is
considered a bullish signal. Both the ascending and
descending triangles are sometimes also referred to as
right angle triangles.